Statistician Nate Silver on Tuesday released his first election model since Vice President Kamala Harris became the presumptive Democratic nominee. Silver wrote in Substack that although Harris is favored to win the popular vote, she is “a modest underdog to Trump in the Electoral College, risking a repeat of the popular vote-Electoral College split that...
It is back to being a margin-of-error race for the White House. Former President Trump saw his edge over President Biden expand in the wake of last month’s disastrous debate performance by Biden, as calls grew louder from within his own party for the president to drop out of the race. However, in the eight...
Vice President Kamala Harris has seen her favorability among American voters rise dramatically in the aftermath of President Biden dropping out of the race, a new poll shows. Harris’ overall favorability rose from 35% to 43% compared to a week earlier, while the vice president’s unfavorability rating fell from 46% to 42%, according to the...
A new poll from The Wall Street Journal has found Vice President Kamala Harris neck and neck with Donald Trump after President Biden vacated the Democratic nomination for November’s election. “Only 37% of Biden voters were enthusiastic about him in early July, and now 81% of Harris voters are enthusiastic about her,” Democratic pollster Mike...
A recent poll indicates voters in the United States almost universally approve of President Biden’s decision to end his 2024 re-election campaign. According to a New York Times/Siena College Poll released Thursday, a staggering 87% of registered voters said they approved of the president’s decision to forego a second term. Only 9% of respondents said...
CNN senior data reporter Harry Enten revealed on Wednesday that presumptive Democratic nominee Kamala Harris is struggling to gain traction among young voters despite a recent influx of internet memes. Referencing CNN exit polls, Enten noted that President Biden won voters under the age of 35 by 21 points in 2020, but Harris is leading...
Vice President Kamala Harris and former President Donald Trump are locked in an extremely close contest, according to a new national poll conducted entirely after President Biden announced he was suspending his campaign and endorsing his vice president. Trump, who was formally nominated last week at the Republican National Convention as the GOP’s 2024 presidential...
The race between former President Trump and Vice President Kamala Harris is too close to call in the aftermath of President Biden’s decision to drop out. Trump garnered the support of 49% of voters compared to 47% who prefer Harris, according to the results of a new Quinnipiac University poll released Monday. The former president...
Before President Biden announced he would discontinue his re-election campaign and endorsed Vice President Harris, recent polls that had been conducted after his disastrous debate performance showed little difference between how he matched up against former President Trump compared to how Harris would. The New York Times assessed that Harris falls about two percentage points...
President Biden’s decision to stand down from re-election offers Democrats an unprecedented opportunity to reset this election. At this hour, Vice President Kamala Harris is the most likely nominee. Many party leaders have endorsed her candidacy, and no other candidate with an appreciable chance of winning the nomination is running. Harris is known for asking...
